Global warming to turn Southern Europe into desert faster than thought

Global warming will transform large parts of Europe in desert areas in less than a century, warn scientists at Aix-Marseille University in France.

mediterranean sea basin

Mediterranean basin ecosystem could change sooner than thought (pic: wikimedia)

The Mediterranean basin will be most affected by climate change, as torrid heat waves will strike significant areas in Turkey, Italy, France and Spain.

Without a clear program to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, the climate of the southern flank of Europe will change dramatically by the end of this century, said researchers in a study published in the journal Science.

The desert will include important parts of Spain, Portugal, Sicily and Turkey, and even northern areas of Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia and Syria.

Pines, oaks and olive fields could disappear from these regions, according to the French researchers.

The Mediterranean region is sensitive to climate change because the heat wave could alter Atlantic currents and thus shrink the chances of precipitation in the area.
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During the United Nations Environment Summit last year, nearly 200 countries worldwide have undertaken the mission to limit temperature rises by at least 2 degrees Celsius below the average pre-industrial level.

French university scholars argue that a global drop in temperatures by 1.5 degrees Celsius would be enough to save the ecosystem of the Mediterranean Sea.

In the past, droughts coincided with large turmoils among populations affected by weather change, as it happened in the late fifteenth century, when most of the farmers in the Ottoman Empire became nomads.

On Mediterranean coast, the temperature difference between the nineteenth century and the present time is 1.3 degrees Celsius, a figure above the global average of 0.85 degrees Celsius.
Photo credit: By O H 237 (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0], via Wikimedia Commons

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